ORE Mining Strategies

Optimize your mining approach with data-driven strategies

Understanding Mining Strategies

ORE mining involves deploying SOL tokens to claim squares on a 5×5 grid. The winning square is determined by on-chain randomness, and rewards are distributed proportionally based on your SOL deployment relative to all miners on that square.

This guide explores different strategies you can use to optimize your mining approach. Each strategy has its own risk-reward profile, and the best choice depends on your goals, risk tolerance, and the current state of the round.

1. Diversification Strategy

Principle: Spread your SOL across multiple squares to reduce risk and increase the probability of winning.

How It Works

Instead of concentrating all your SOL on one square, you distribute it evenly (or proportionally) across multiple squares. This strategy reduces the impact of losing on a single square while maintaining exposure to potential wins.

Calculation

Probability of winning at least one square:
P(win) = 1 - (1 - p₁) × (1 - p₂) × ... × (1 - pₙ)
Where:
pᵢ = Your SOL on square i / Total SOL on square i
n = Number of squares you deployed to

Example

You have 1 SOL to deploy:

  • Strategy A (Concentrated): Deploy all 1 SOL to Square A1
  • Strategy B (Diversified): Deploy 0.2 SOL each to 5 different squares (A1, B2, C3, D4, E5)

Analysis: Strategy B gives you 5 chances to win (one per square), while Strategy A gives you only 1 chance. However, if Square A1 wins, Strategy A would give you a larger share of the rewards (assuming equal competition).

Pros:

  • Higher probability of winning at least one square
  • Reduced risk of total loss
  • More consistent results over multiple rounds

Cons:

  • Lower reward per square if you win
  • May miss out on high-value concentrated wins
  • Transaction costs if deploying to many squares

2. High-Value Square Strategy

Principle: Target squares that already have high SOL deployments, assuming they attract more miners and may indicate "popular" or "strategic" positions.

How It Works

You identify squares with above-average SOL deployments and concentrate your resources there. This strategy assumes that squares with more activity are more likely to win, or that joining high-competition squares gives you access to larger reward pools.

Calculation

Expected reward share on high-value square:
Your Share = (Your SOL / Total SOL on Square) × Reward Pool
Where:
Reward Pool = Treasury × (1 - Protocol Fees)
Protocol Fees = 11% (10% protocol + 1% admin)

Example

Round statistics:

  • Treasury: 100 ORE
  • Square A1 total: 5 SOL (high value)
  • Square B2 total: 0.5 SOL (low value)
  • You deploy: 1 SOL
If Square A1 wins:
Your share = (1 / 5) × (100 × 0.89) = 0.2 × 89 = 17.8 ORE
If Square B2 wins:
Your share = (1 / 0.5) × (100 × 0.89) = 2.0 × 89 = 178 ORE

Analysis: While Square A1 has more total SOL, your share is smaller (20%). Square B2 gives you a larger share (200%) but has lower total activity. The high-value strategy assumes Square A1 is more likely to win.

Pros:

  • Access to larger reward pools
  • May follow "smart money" or popular squares
  • Higher absolute rewards if you win

Cons:

  • Lower percentage share of rewards
  • Higher competition reduces win probability
  • Assumes high-value squares are more likely to win (not guaranteed)

3. Low-Competition Strategy

Principle: Target squares with low SOL deployments to maximize your reward share if that square wins.

How It Works

You identify squares with below-average SOL deployments and deploy your SOL there. This strategy maximizes your percentage share of rewards, assuming that any square has an equal probability of winning (since selection is random).

Calculation

Reward share on low-competition square:
Your Share % = (Your SOL / Total SOL on Square) × 100%
Expected Value (EV):
EV = (Your Share %) × (Reward Pool) × (1 / 25)
Where 1/25 = probability of any square winning (5×5 grid)

Example

Round statistics:

  • Treasury: 100 ORE
  • Square A1 total: 5 SOL (high competition)
  • Square B2 total: 0.2 SOL (low competition)
  • You deploy: 0.5 SOL
Square A1 (high competition):
Your share = (0.5 / 5) × 89 = 8.9 ORE (10% share)
Square B2 (low competition):
Your share = (0.5 / 0.2) × 89 = 222.5 ORE (250% share - you're the only miner!)
Note: Share can exceed 100% if you deploy more than the current total

Analysis: Low-competition squares offer much higher reward shares, but the probability of winning is the same (1/25 = 4%) for any square. This strategy maximizes potential rewards but doesn't increase win probability.

Pros:

  • Maximum reward share if you win
  • Lower competition means higher percentage ownership
  • Can dominate a square with relatively small deployment

Cons:

  • Win probability is still 4% (same as any square)
  • Low activity may indicate squares are "unlucky" or less strategic
  • Risk of total loss if square doesn't win

4. Average-Following Strategy

Principle: Target squares with SOL deployments close to the round average, balancing competition and reward share.

How It Works

You calculate the average SOL per square for the round and deploy to squares that are near this average. This strategy avoids both extreme competition (high-value squares) and extreme isolation (low-value squares), aiming for a balanced risk-reward profile.

Calculation

Average SOL per square:
Avg = Total SOL Deployed / 25
Target range:
Target = Avg × (0.8 to 1.2)
Deploy to squares within this range

Example

Round statistics:

  • Total SOL deployed: 25 SOL
  • Average per square: 1 SOL (25 / 25)
  • Target range: 0.8-1.2 SOL per square

You identify squares with 0.8-1.2 SOL total deployment and distribute your SOL there. This gives you:

  • Moderate competition (not too high, not too low)
  • Reasonable reward share (typically 20-50% depending on your deployment)
  • Balanced risk-reward profile

Pros:

  • Balanced approach between risk and reward
  • Avoids extremes (too competitive or too isolated)
  • More predictable outcomes

Cons:

  • May miss high-reward opportunities on low-competition squares
  • Moderate rewards compared to high-risk strategies
  • Requires monitoring average throughout the round

5. ROI-Based Strategy

Principle: Calculate expected return on investment (ROI) for each square and deploy to squares with the highest expected value.

How It Works

You calculate the expected value (EV) for each square based on your potential reward share and the probability of winning. This strategy uses mathematical optimization to maximize expected returns.

Calculation

Expected Value (EV) per square:
EV = (Your Share %) × (Reward Pool) × (Win Probability)
Where:
Win Probability = 1/25 = 4% (equal for all squares)
Your Share % = Your SOL / (Total SOL on Square + Your SOL)
Reward Pool = Treasury × 0.89 (after 11% fees)
ROI:
ROI = (EV - Your SOL Cost) / Your SOL Cost × 100%

Example

Round parameters:

  • Treasury: 100 ORE
  • SOL price: $150
  • ORE price: $0.10
  • Reward pool: 89 ORE (after fees)
Square A1: 5 SOL total, you deploy 1 SOL
Your share = 1 / 6 = 16.67%
EV = 0.1667 × 89 × 0.04 = 0.59 ORE
EV in USD = 0.59 × $0.10 = $0.06
Your cost = 1 SOL × $150 = $150
ROI = ($0.06 - $150) / $150 = -99.96%
Note: Negative ROI is expected due to low win probability
Square B2: 0.2 SOL total, you deploy 1 SOL
Your share = 1 / 1.2 = 83.33%
EV = 0.8333 × 89 × 0.04 = 2.97 ORE
EV in USD = 2.97 × $0.10 = $0.30
Your cost = 1 SOL × $150 = $150
ROI = ($0.30 - $150) / $150 = -99.80%

Analysis: Even with high reward shares, the 4% win probability means negative expected ROI in most cases. Mining is inherently risky and should be viewed as a lottery-like mechanism rather than a guaranteed investment.

Key Insights:

  • Expected ROI is typically negative due to low win probability (4%)
  • Higher reward shares improve EV but don't guarantee positive ROI
  • Mining should be viewed as entertainment/speculation, not investment
  • Only deploy SOL you can afford to lose

Risk Management Principles

1. Never Deploy More Than You Can Afford to Lose

ORE mining has a low win probability (4% per square). The expected value is typically negative, meaning you're likely to lose your deployed SOL. Only deploy funds you can afford to lose completely.

2. Diversify Across Rounds

Instead of deploying all your SOL in one round, consider spreading it across multiple rounds. This reduces the impact of losing a single round and increases your chances of winning over time.

3. Monitor Round Statistics

Use tools like gmore.fun to monitor:

  • Total SOL deployed per square
  • Average SOL per square
  • Treasury balance (available rewards)
  • Round progress and time remaining

4. Understand the Math

Each square has a 4% chance of winning (1 in 25). Your reward share depends on your SOL relative to total SOL on the winning square. Higher shares mean larger rewards, but don't increase win probability.

5. Consider Transaction Costs

Deploying to multiple squares incurs transaction fees. Factor these costs into your strategy, especially if deploying small amounts to many squares.

Strategy Comparison

StrategyRisk LevelReward PotentialBest For
DiversificationLowModerateConservative miners, multiple rounds
High-ValueHighHigh (if win)Following "smart money", large deployments
Low-CompetitionHighVery High (if win)Risk-tolerant miners, maximizing share
Average-FollowingModerateModerateBalanced approach, steady players
ROI-BasedVariableVariableData-driven optimization

Conclusion

There's no single "best" strategy for ORE mining. The optimal approach depends on your risk tolerance, available capital, and goals. Some miners prefer diversification for consistency, while others target high-reward opportunities despite higher risk.

Remember that ORE mining is fundamentally a probabilistic game with low win rates. Use these strategies as guidelines, but always:

  • Only deploy SOL you can afford to lose
  • Monitor round statistics and adjust your strategy
  • Understand the math behind your decisions
  • View mining as entertainment/speculation, not guaranteed investment

For real-time data and analytics to inform your strategy, visit the gmore.fun dashboard.